SC_Lounas at Regional Championship Bilbao Premier

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Regional Premier October 11, 2025 Record 3-6-0 Field 677

Rating after 1,430

-16

Rating before 1,446 RD 70

Rating after 1,430 RD 68

Effective multiplier 1.3×

Performance 1,344

Field strength Mean 1,574 · Median 1,535 · 677 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Regional tier multiplier (1.3×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Regional event adds a flat +35 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1446 → Swiss 1430 -15.9

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Mikołaj Wendowski 2

ADrinkwater 1

Beton 2

SobekSobek 0

Twilgrimm 1

Avestator 2

Jonas Skjold Frederiksen 1

FA_Nightbryd 2

Semifinals

Mikołaj Wendowski 2

Beton 1

Avestator 1

FA_Nightbryd 2

Finals

Mikołaj Wendowski 1

FA_Nightbryd 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 9 matches 3-6 -12.3 1.3× -3.7 -15.9 1430

Total 3-6-0 -15.9 1430

Biggest upset Beat Terror404_RS 1500 at 46% odds / surprise +0.54

Costliest loss Lost to Angelo234 1460 at 49% odds / surprise -0.49 /

Matches (9)

R1 Miguel Angel Lopez Montoya Loss 0-2 1.3× Swiss

R2 Terror404_RS Win 2-0 1.3× Swiss

R3 MyhreDK Loss 1-2 1.3× Swiss

R4 Whiteraven22 Loss 0-2 1.3× Swiss

R5 Angelo234 Loss 0-2 1.3× Swiss

R6 SamB53 Win 2-0 1.3× Swiss

R7 danisoc Win 2-0 1.3× Swiss

R8 GG_Galerion Loss 0-2 1.3× Swiss

R9 CrYad Loss 0-2 1.3× Swiss