Rankings / Rocha / Planetary Qualifier São Paulo

Rocha at Planetary Qualifier São Paulo

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Planetary Premier April 18, 2026 Record 6-2-1
Rating after 1,769
+31
Rating before 1,738 RD 84
Rating after 1,769 RD 80
Effective multiplier 1.08x delta-weighted

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss. Top-cut rounds add more on top (Quarterfinals +0.15, Semifinals +0.25, Finals +0.35).

Phase Record Raw Glicko-2 Multiplier Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 5-1 +37.7 1.0× +37.7 1776
Quarterfinals · 1 match 1-0 +7.8 1.15× +8.9 1785
Semifinals · 1 match 0-1 -17.2 1.25× -21.5 1763
Total 6-2-1 +31.4 1769

Phase numbers use each opponent’s pre-tournament rating (the one shown on the leaderboard). The engine uses the opponent’s rating at the moment of the match — which for top-cut rounds includes their own Swiss performance — so the phase contributions above are approximate for Quarterfinals, Semifinals, and Finals. The Total is the engine’s actual output.

Biggest upset Beat JARS_MatheusAlves 1948 at 30% odds / surprise +0.7
Costliest loss Lost to Fabianno Xavier 1500 at 74% odds / surprise -0.74

Matches (9)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Type
R1 1620 DaniAbreu Win 62% 2-1 1.15x Swiss
▲ R2 1948 JARS_MatheusAlves Win 30% 2-1 1.15x Swiss
R3 1449 JARS_Thiagoo97 Win 77% 2-0 1.15x Swiss
R4 1496 maestroalemao Win 73% 2-1 1.15x Swiss
R5 1773 GustavoKenzo Loss 46% 0-2 1.15x Swiss
R6 1576 Rene Correa Win 66% 2-0 1.15x Swiss
R7 1874 Rafael Navarro Draw — 0-0 1.15x Swiss
QF 1567 STK_Serjao Win 70% 2-1 1.15x Top Cut
▼ Semis 1500 Fabianno Xavier Loss 74% 0-2 1.25x Top Cut

Per-match multipliers reflect what the engine applied at the time this snapshot was recorded. The Effective Multiplier above is a delta-weighted average across all phases — Finals matches swing the headline more than Swiss rounds when they produced bigger rating changes. How it works.