Rawne at Planetary Qualifier Essen

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 4-3-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,584
+84
Rating before 1,500 RD 250
Rating after 1,584 RD 170
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,663 vs field +91
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 4-3 +83.6 1.0× +0.0 +83.6 1584
Total 4-3-0 +83.6 1584
Biggest upset Beat Nonamesman 1703 at 34% odds / surprise +0.66
Costliest loss Lost to bartomanix_TDM 1457 at 54% odds / surprise -0.54 / +181 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1457 bartomanix_TDM Loss 54% 1-2 1.0× -97.3 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 54% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R2 1575 RPGKuchen Win 44% 2-1 1.0× +102.3 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 44% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R3 1500~ Revanite Win 50% 2-0 1.0× +85.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 50% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R4 1703~ Nonamesman Win 34% 2-1 1.0× +118.0 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 34% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 180, true skill could span ±360).
R5 1755 nWo_BoboWanKenobi Loss 30% 1-2 1.0× -54.8 Swiss
R6 1505 dropkickrob Win 50% 2-1 1.0× +90.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 50% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R7 1529 EW_Ditto Loss 48% 1-2 1.0× -86.1 Swiss
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