RPGKuchen at Planetary Qualifier Essen

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-3-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,569
-5
Rating before 1,575 RD 90
Rating after 1,569 RD 86
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,531 vs field -41
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 -5.3 1.0× +0.0 -5.3 1569
Total 3-3-0 -5.3 1569
Biggest upset Beat EW_Tobik 1707 at 39% odds / surprise +0.61
Costliest loss Lost to dropkickrob 1505 at 56% odds / surprise -0.56 / +28 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1601 TCT_Adrian Loss 48% 0-2 1.0× -13.1 Swiss
R2 1500~ Rawne Loss 56% 1-2 1.0× -14.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 56% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R3 1366~ NGNR_Phorlo Win 67% 2-0 1.0× +9.1 Swiss
R4 1500~ Telli Win 56% 2-1 1.0× +11.3 Swiss
R5 1505 dropkickrob Loss 56% 0-2 1.0× -15.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 56% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R6 1707~ EW_Tobik Win 39% 2-1 1.0× +16.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 39% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 143, true skill could span ±285).
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