PhilippRa at Planetary Qualifier Essen

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 1-3-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,336
-43
Rating before 1,379 RD 137
Rating after 1,336 RD 126
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,100 vs field -472
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 4 matches 1-3 -43.0 1.0× +0.0 -43.0 1336
Total 1-3-0 -43.0 1336
Biggest upset Beat mrheavywash 1500 at 41% odds / surprise +0.59
Costliest loss Lost to ertlheimer 1301 at 57% odds / surprise -0.57 / +61 swing

Matches (4)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1490 Frosenalex Loss 41% 0-2 1.0× -24.9 Swiss
R2 1301 ertlheimer Loss 57% 1-2 1.0× -34.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 57% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R3 1500~ Telli Loss 41% 1-2 1.0× -23.1 Swiss
R4 1500~ mrheavywash Win 41% 2-0 1.0× +33.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 41% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
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