Pascal Maynard at Planetary Qualifier Montreal

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 4-2-1 Field 82
Rating after 1,887
-17
Rating before 1,903 RD 91
Rating after 1,887 RD 87
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,761 vs field +182
Field strength Mean 1,579 · Median 1,558 · 82 rated 49th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 4-2-1 -16.5 1.0× +0.0 -16.5 1887
Total 4-2-1 -16.5 1887
Biggest upset Beat Kal_MythicForce 1712 at 66% odds / surprise +0.34
Costliest loss Lost to kunshuf 1419 at 82% odds / surprise -0.82 / +27 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ Shalako Win 78% 2-0 1.0× +5.8 Swiss
R2 1651~ realready Loss 70% 1-2 1.0× -19.3 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 70% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 172, true skill could span ±345).
R3 1584 Jozzul Win 75% 2-0 1.0× +7.2 Swiss
R4 1581~ Zedd77 Win 74% 2-0 1.0× +7.1 Swiss
R5 1583 François Bousquet Draw 75% 1-1 1.0× -7.1 Swiss
R6 1712 Kal_MythicForce Win 66% 2-0 1.0× +9.8 Swiss
R7 1419~ kunshuf Loss 82% 1-2 1.0× -22.0 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 82% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 235, true skill could span ±469).
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