Piotr Jabłoński at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

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Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 6-2-1 Field 63
Rating after 1,891
+76
Rating before 1,815 RD 96
Rating after 1,891 RD 94
Effective multiplier 1.01× weighted avg
Performance 2,122 vs field +528
Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated 74th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-1-1 +31.8 1.0× +0.0 +31.8 1847
Quarterfinals · 1 match 1-0 +14.1 1.12× 1.00 · +0.12 +1.7 +15.8 1861
Semifinals · 1 match 1-0 +17.1 1.18× 1.00 · +0.18 +3.1 +20.2 1879
Finals · 1 match 0-1 -11.0 0.65× 1.00 · -0.35 +3.9 -7.2 1871
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 63 +15.0 1886
Total 6-2-1 +75.6 1891
Biggest upset Beat Szavi 1879 at 45% odds / surprise +0.55
Toughest win Beat Cuendae 1882 at 48% odds
Costliest loss Lost to Jędrzej Sobota 1911 at 42% odds / surprise -0.42 / +32 swing

Matches (9)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1750~ Harrison_Solo Win 56% 2-1 1.0× +13.9 Swiss
R2 1911 Jędrzej Sobota Loss 42% 1-2 1.0× -13.3 Swiss
R3 1879 Szavi Win 45% 2-1 1.0× +17.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 45% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R4 1627 Bartosz_Sobota Win 66% 2-1 1.0× +11.0 Swiss
R5 1378~ Guzi6 Win 81% 2-1 1.0× +5.9 Swiss
R6 1574 Arteusz Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
QF 1750~ Harrison_Solo Win 58% 2-0 1.12× +15.6 Top Cut
Semis 1882 Cuendae Win 48% 2-0 1.18× +20.6 Top Cut
Glicko-2 predicted only 48% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
Finals 1982 Gibki Loss 41% 0-2 0.65× -7.4 Top Cut
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