PBJ12 at Planetary Qualifier Montreal

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 4-1-2 Field 82
Rating after 1,676
+176
Rating before 1,500 RD 250
Rating after 1,676 RD 170
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,841 vs field +262
Field strength Mean 1,579 · Median 1,558 · 82 rated 49th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 4-1-2 +175.6 1.0× +0.0 +175.6 1676
Total 4-1-2 +175.6 1676
Biggest upset Beat OMG 1610 at 41% odds / surprise +0.59
Costliest loss Lost to ORA_KillMathy 1662 at 37% odds / surprise -0.37 / +183 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1662 ORA_KillMathy Loss 37% 0-2 1.0× -66.9 Swiss
R2 1610 OMG Win 41% 2-0 1.0× +107.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 41% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R3 1500~ Shalako Win 50% 2-1 1.0× +85.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 50% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R4 1500~ Zorthak Draw 50% 1-1 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
R5 1556 laurent0031 Win 45% 2-0 1.0× +98.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 45% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R6 1593~ BennyBlues Draw 42% 1-1 1.0× +13.7 Swiss
R7 1486 Richard Blais Win 51% 2-0 1.0× +87.9 Swiss
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