Oyabin at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

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Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 0-5-0 Field 63

Rating after 1,302

-64

Rating before 1,366 RD 98

Rating after 1,302 RD 94

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 800

Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1366 → Swiss 1302 -63.9

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Beton 0

Gibki 2

Jędrzej Sobota 2

DrakonianLord 1

Harrison_Solo 0

Piotr Jabłoński 2

siny 0

Cuendae 2

Semifinals

Gibki 2

Jędrzej Sobota 0

Piotr Jabłoński 2

Cuendae 0

Finals

Gibki 2

Piotr Jabłoński 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 5 matches 0-5 -63.9 1.0× +0.0 -63.9 1302

Total 0-5-0 -63.9 1302

Costliest loss Lost to Marcin-ravin78 1126 at 69% odds / surprise -0.69 /

Matches (5)

R1 Rafał Tarnowski Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R2 Marcin-ravin78 Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 69% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 130, true skill could span ±259).

R3 Bartek Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R4 bowbark Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R5 FORFUNN3000 Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 62% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 153, true skill could span ±305).