Order514_Trepan at Planetary Qualifier Montreal

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-4-0 Field 82

Rating after 1,210

Rating before 1,200 RD 131

Rating after 1,210 RD 119

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,250

Field strength Mean 1,579 · Median 1,558 · 82 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1200 → Swiss 1210 +9.5

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Krehlo_MythicForce 2

DavB87 0

Byrus_MythicForce 2

realready 1

Guacamol 0

Order514_Dinozor 2

Kevin Anctil 2

BennyBlues 0

Semifinals

Krehlo_MythicForce 2

Byrus_MythicForce 0

Order514_Dinozor 2

Kevin Anctil 1

Finals

Krehlo_MythicForce 1

Order514_Dinozor 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 2-4 +9.5 1.0× +0.0 +9.5 1210

Total 2-4-0 +9.5 1210

Biggest upset Beat WTFxRambo 1528 at 25% odds / surprise +0.75

Costliest loss Lost to Glavigne 1395 at 35% odds / surprise -0.35 /

Matches (6)

R1 Glavigne Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R2 Fouc Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R3 Cocodelmundo Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R4 WTFxRambo Win 2-1 1.0× +42.4 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 25% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 141, true skill could span ±283).

R5 bobbytreefish Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R6 AntPha9 Win 2-0 1.0× +38.0 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 28% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).