Order514_T0PLAW at Planetary Qualifier Montreal

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-2-0 Field 82
Rating after 1,826
-20
Rating before 1,847 RD 83
Rating after 1,826 RD 83
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,564 vs field -15
Field strength Mean 1,579 · Median 1,558 · 82 rated 49th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 4 matches 2-2 -20.5 1.0× +0.0 -20.5 1826
Total 2-2-0 -20.5 1826
Biggest upset Beat Awesome_NDeGuise 1656 at 66% odds / surprise +0.34
Costliest loss Lost to Order514_Stormenter 1492 at 77% odds / surprise -0.77 / +24 swing

Matches (4)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1492 Order514_Stormenter Loss 77% 0-2 1.0× -18.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 77% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R2 1500~ AntPha9 Win 75% 2-0 1.0× +5.7 Swiss
R3 1656 Awesome_NDeGuise Win 66% 2-0 1.0× +8.3 Swiss
R4 1604 PneuDeChar Loss 69% 0-2 1.0× -16.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 69% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
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