Richard Blais at Planetary Qualifier Montreal

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-2-2 Field 82
Rating after 1,518
+32
Rating before 1,486 RD 114
Rating after 1,518 RD 103
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,644 vs field +65
Field strength Mean 1,579 · Median 1,558 · 82 rated 49th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 3-2-2 +32.3 1.0× +0.0 +32.3 1518
Total 3-2-2 +32.3 1518
Biggest upset Beat RFrancisR 1780 at 27% odds / surprise +0.73
Costliest loss Lost to Elkady 1500 at 49% odds / surprise -0.49 / +40 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1568 D3ploy_MythicForce Draw 43% 1-1 1.0× +3.0 Swiss
R2 1500~ Elkady Loss 49% 0-1 1.0× -19.5 Swiss
R3 1474~ ORA_Undead Win 51% 2-1 1.0× +20.6 Swiss
R4 1543~ carbonite Draw 45% 1-1 1.0× +2.0 Swiss
R5 1500~ LouisValiquette Win 49% 1-0 1.0× +20.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 49% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R6 1780 RFrancisR Win 27% 2-0 1.0× +31.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 27% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R7 1500~ PBJ12 Loss 49% 0-2 1.0× -19.5 Swiss
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