ORA_lordraptor at Planetary Qualifier Montreal

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 4-2-1 Field 82
Rating after 1,659
+54
Rating before 1,605 RD 109
Rating after 1,659 RD 100
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,911 vs field +332
Field strength Mean 1,579 · Median 1,558 · 82 rated 49th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 4-2-1 +54.2 1.0× +0.0 +54.2 1659
Total 4-2-1 +54.2 1659
Biggest upset Beat realready 1651 at 46% odds / surprise +0.54
Costliest loss Lost to Byrus_MythicForce 1817 at 33% odds / surprise -0.33 / +41 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1597 ORA_JusDem Win 51% 2-0 1.0× +19.7 Swiss
R2 1589~ tguiboud Win 51% 2-1 1.0× +18.9 Swiss
R3 1559 Mcpobid Win 54% 2-0 1.0× +18.6 Swiss
R4 1651~ realready Win 46% 2-0 1.0× +20.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 46% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 172, true skill could span ±345).
R5 1777 Kevin Anctil Draw 36% 1-1 1.0× +5.7 Swiss
R6 1817 Byrus_MythicForce Loss 33% 1-2 1.0× -13.2 Swiss
R7 2084 Order514_Dinozor Loss 16% 1-2 1.0× -6.7 Swiss
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