ORA_MatP94 at Planetary Qualifier Montreal

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 1-6-0 Field 82
Rating after 1,157
-111
Rating before 1,268 RD 205
Rating after 1,157 RD 156
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 931 vs field -648
Field strength Mean 1,579 · Median 1,558 · 82 rated 49th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 1-6 -111.2 1.0× +0.0 -111.2 1157
Total 1-6-0 -111.2 1157
Biggest upset Beat darth_waste 1446 at 35% odds / surprise +0.65
Costliest loss Lost to CT_2539 1337 at 44% odds / surprise -0.44 / +126 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1420~ Gharuwill Loss 38% 1-2 1.0× -48.2 Swiss
R2 1446 darth_waste Win 35% 2-0 1.0× +84.0 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 35% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R3 1583 François Bousquet Loss 26% 0-2 1.0× -33.7 Swiss
R4 1377~ Kalad Loss 41% 1-2 1.0× -52.4 Swiss
R5 1610 OMG Loss 24% 0-2 1.0× -31.6 Swiss
R6 1543~ carbonite Loss 29% 0-2 1.0× -36.9 Swiss
R7 1337~ CT_2539 Loss 44% 0-2 1.0× -55.9 Swiss
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