ORA_MatP94 at Planetary Qualifier Saint-Hyacinthe

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Planetary Premier February 28, 2026 Record 0-3-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,268
-232
Rating before 1,500 RD 250
Rating after 1,268 RD 205
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 800 vs field -764
Field strength Mean 1,564 · Median 1,540 · 70 rated 51st Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q1

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 3 matches 0-3 -231.9 1.0× +0.0 -231.9 1268
Total 0-3-0 -231.9 1268
Costliest loss Lost to TrollDuhNoob 1278 at 67% odds / surprise -0.67 / +179 swing

Matches (3)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1475~ Demers06 Loss 52% 1-2 1.0× -92.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 52% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 148, true skill could span ±295).
R2 1532 DarkEyes Loss 47% 0-2 1.0× -85.2 Swiss
R3 1278~ TrollDuhNoob Loss 67% 0-2 1.0× -120.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 67% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 183, true skill could span ±365).
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