ORA_Louisere at Planetary Qualifier Montreal

melee.gg

Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-2-1 Field 82

Rating after 1,508

+62

Rating before 1,446 RD 150

Rating after 1,508 RD 130

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,681

Field strength Mean 1,579 · Median 1,558 · 82 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1446 → Swiss 1508 +61.6

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Krehlo_MythicForce 2

DavB87 0

Byrus_MythicForce 2

realready 1

Guacamol 0

Order514_Dinozor 2

Kevin Anctil 2

BennyBlues 0

Semifinals

Krehlo_MythicForce 2

Byrus_MythicForce 0

Order514_Dinozor 2

Kevin Anctil 1

Finals

Krehlo_MythicForce 1

Order514_Dinozor 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 3-2-1 +61.6 1.0× +0.0 +61.6 1508

Total 3-2-1 +61.6 1508

Biggest upset Beat suspect 1587 at 38% odds / surprise +0.62

Costliest loss Lost to Obi-Dan 1445 at 50% odds / surprise -0.5 /

Matches (6)

R1 suspect Win 2-0 1.0× +44.1 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 38% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 141, true skill could span ±282).

R2 Order514_CT Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R3 Obi-Dan Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 50% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 127, true skill could span ±253).

R4 tguiboud Draw 1-1 1.0× +8.1 Swiss

R5 Rorschach87 Win 2-0 1.0× +36.5 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 46% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).

R6 D3ploy_MythicForce Win 2-0 1.0× +43.8 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 40% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.