ORA_KillMathy at Planetary Qualifier Montreal

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-3-0 Field 82
Rating after 1,645
-17
Rating before 1,662 RD 104
Rating after 1,645 RD 97
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,564 vs field -15
Field strength Mean 1,579 · Median 1,558 · 82 rated 49th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 -16.9 1.0× +0.0 -16.9 1645
Total 3-3-0 -16.9 1645
Biggest upset Beat carbonite 1543 at 60% odds / surprise +0.4
Costliest loss Lost to laurent0031 1556 at 59% odds / surprise -0.59 / +36 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ PBJ12 Win 62% 2-0 1.0× +12.7 Swiss
R2 1556 laurent0031 Loss 59% 1-2 1.0× -21.3 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 59% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R3 1713 Miranda Ketita Loss 46% 0-2 1.0× -16.6 Swiss
R4 1500~ Cocodelmundo Win 62% 2-0 1.0× +12.7 Swiss
R5 1543~ carbonite Win 60% 2-0 1.0× +14.4 Swiss
R6 1573 Colazel Loss 57% 1-2 1.0× -20.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 57% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
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