ORA_KillMathy at Planetary Qualifier Montreal

melee.gg
Planetary Premier January 25, 2025 Record 4-2-0 Field 58
Rating after 1,611
+75
Rating before 1,537 RD 174
Rating after 1,611 RD 146
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,794 vs field +240
Field strength Mean 1,554 · Median 1,500 · 58 rated 96th Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q1

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-2 +74.9 1.0× +0.0 +74.9 1611
Total 4-2-0 +74.9 1611
Biggest upset Beat Kal_MythicForce 1652 at 40% odds / surprise +0.6
Costliest loss Lost to suspect 1547 at 49% odds / surprise -0.49 / +92 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ Kalad Win 53% 2-0 1.0× +41.8 Swiss
R2 1909~ Krehlo_MythicForce Loss 22% 0-2 1.0× -21.5 Swiss
R3 1652 Kal_MythicForce Win 40% 2-1 1.0× +56.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 40% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R4 1257~ Order514_Souless Win 71% 2-1 1.0× +26.7 Swiss
R5 1547~ suspect Loss 49% 1-2 1.0× -45.4 Swiss
R6 1500~ Order514_T0PLAW Win 53% 2-1 1.0× +41.8 Swiss
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