ORA_KillMathy at Planetary Qualifier Quebec

melee.gg

Planetary Premier February 08, 2025 Record 1-2-0 Field 66

Rating after 1,573

-38

Rating before 1,611 RD 146

Rating after 1,573 RD 136

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,325

Field strength Mean 1,517 · Median 1,500 · 66 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1611 → Swiss 1573 -38.3

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Matthew Yakobina 2

KinJabber 0

RFrancisR 0

Sneany_MythicForce 2

Kevin Anctil 2

Boulynator 0

Krehlo_MythicForce 2

Guacamol 1

Semifinals

Matthew Yakobina 2

Sneany_MythicForce 1

Kevin Anctil 2

Krehlo_MythicForce 1

Finals

Matthew Yakobina 2

Kevin Anctil 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 3 matches 1-2 -38.3 1.0× +0.0 -38.3 1573

Total 1-2-0 -38.3 1573

Biggest upset Beat Kal_MythicForce 1593 at 52% odds / surprise +0.48

Costliest loss Lost to DarkEyes 1358 at 70% odds / surprise -0.7 /

Matches (3)

R1 DarkEyes Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 70% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 177, true skill could span ±353).

R2 Kal_MythicForce Win 2-1 1.0× +33.3 Swiss

R3 Z6PO Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss