ORA_JusDem at Planetary Qualifier Sherbrooke

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Planetary Premier May 10, 2025 Record 3-3-1 Field 73

Rating after 1,481

-19

Rating before 1,500 RD 250

Rating after 1,481 RD 173

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,480

Field strength Mean 1,525 · Median 1,500 · 69 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1500 → Swiss 1481 -18.6

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

broche 0

kunshu 2

Pascal Maynard 0

FraP22 2

Byrus_MythicForce 2

Krehlo_MythicForce 1

Sneany_MythicForce 2

Julien Abenhaim 0

Semifinals

kunshu 0

FraP22 2

Byrus_MythicForce 2

Sneany_MythicForce 0

Finals

FraP22 0

Byrus_MythicForce 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 7 matches 3-3-1 -18.6 1.0× +0.0 -18.6 1481

Total 3-3-1 -18.6 1481

Biggest upset Beat Glympse1512 1500 at 50% odds / surprise +0.5

Costliest loss Lost to Iceforp 1298 at 66% odds / surprise -0.66 /

Matches (7)

R1 Byrus_MythicForce Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R2 Jozzul Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 50% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 136, true skill could span ±272).

R3 Iceforp Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 66% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 156, true skill could span ±311).

R4 Glympse1512 Win 2-0 1.0× +85.1 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 50% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).

R5 SavageSasquatch Win 2-0 1.0× +81.9 Swiss

R6 Toupinator Win 2-0 1.0× +85.1 Swiss

R7 Kalad Draw 1-1 1.0× -24.5 Swiss