ORA_JusDem at Planetary Qualifier Saint-Hyacinthe

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Planetary Premier February 28, 2026 Record 5-2-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,597
+128
Rating before 1,469 RD 133
Rating after 1,597 RD 118
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,995 vs field +431
Field strength Mean 1,564 · Median 1,540 · 70 rated 51st Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q1

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 5-2 +128.0 1.0× +0.0 +128.0 1597
Total 5-2-0 +128.0 1597
Biggest upset Beat Lavarennez 2040 at 13% odds / surprise +0.87
Costliest loss Lost to Order514_CT 1660 at 35% odds / surprise -0.35 / +57 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 2040 Lavarennez Win 13% 2-1 1.0× +51.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 13% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R2 1592 Jozzul Win 40% 2-1 1.0× +34.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 40% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R3 1850 Order514_T0PLAW Loss 21% 0-2 1.0× -12.6 Swiss
R4 1578~ Order514_Madness Win 41% 2-1 1.0× +33.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 41% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 128, true skill could span ±256).
R5 1663 OMG Win 34% 2-0 1.0× +38.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 34% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R6 1660~ Order514_CT Loss 35% 1-2 1.0× -19.7 Swiss
R7 1576~ bs45 Win 41% 2-1 1.0× +32.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 41% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 178, true skill could span ±357).
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