ORA_Jotsky at Planetary Qualifier Montreal

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-3-0 Field 82
Rating after 1,417
-3
Rating before 1,420 RD 112
Rating after 1,417 RD 105
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,409 vs field -170
Field strength Mean 1,579 · Median 1,558 · 82 rated 49th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 2-3 -2.6 1.0× +0.0 -2.6 1417
Total 2-3-0 -2.6 1417
Biggest upset Beat LouisValiquette 1500 at 44% odds / surprise +0.56
Costliest loss Lost to ORA_Undead 1474 at 46% odds / surprise -0.46 / +41 swing

Matches (5)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ LouisValiquette Win 44% 2-1 1.0× +21.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 44% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R2 1817 Byrus_MythicForce Loss 20% 0-2 1.0× -8.8 Swiss
R3 1604 PneuDeChar Loss 35% 1-2 1.0× -14.6 Swiss
R4 1318~ Mazesoul Win 58% 2-0 1.0× +17.2 Swiss
R5 1474~ ORA_Undead Loss 46% 0-2 1.0× -18.6 Swiss
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