Nonamesman at Planetary Qualifier Essen

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-4-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,585
-118
Rating before 1,703 RD 180
Rating after 1,585 RD 146
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,400 vs field -172
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 3-4 -117.8 1.0× +0.0 -117.8 1585
Total 3-4-0 -117.8 1585
Biggest upset Beat Telli 1500 at 65% odds / surprise +0.35
Costliest loss Lost to xBosco 1317 at 78% odds / surprise -0.78 / +103 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1317~ xBosco Loss 78% 0-2 1.0× -81.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 78% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 132, true skill could span ±264).
R2 1500~ Telli Win 65% 2-0 1.0× +33.0 Swiss
R3 1356~ TomDuc Win 76% 2-1 1.0× +24.4 Swiss
R4 1500~ Rawne Loss 65% 1-2 1.0× -62.3 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 65% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R5 1500~ Revanite Win 65% 2-1 1.0× +33.0 Swiss
R6 1529 EW_Ditto Loss 64% 1-2 1.0× -66.0 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 64% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R7 1744 ChrisCunning Loss 47% 1-2 1.0× -47.4 Swiss
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