Rankings / NXS_BigONotation / Regional Qualifier Lille

NXS_BigONotation at Regional Qualifier Lille

melee.gg
Regional Premier May 03, 2025 Record 10-3-0 Field 860
Rating after 1,932
+28
Rating before 1,904 RD 89
Rating after 1,932 RD 81
Effective multiplier 1.3× weighted avg
Performance 2,028 vs field +485
Field strength Mean 1,543 · Median 1,500 · 860 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Regional tier multiplier (1.3×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Regional event adds a flat +35 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Quarterfinals
Jonas Skjold Frederiksen 2
undefined 0
ImSoHumble 2
No_Rykyna 1
BN_Diyifei 1
Zkwyz 2
yehosera 1
Erik Eroth Kaleta 2
Semifinals
Jonas Skjold Frederiksen 2
ImSoHumble 1
Zkwyz 2
Erik Eroth Kaleta 0
Finals
Jonas Skjold Frederiksen 2
Zkwyz 0
See full bracket on the event page →
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 13 matches 10-3 +21.7 1.3× +6.5 +28.2 1932
Total 10-3-0 +28.2 1932
Biggest upset Beat MikaelPL 1962 at 45% odds / surprise +0.55
Costliest loss Lost to ChiefChirpa 1398 at 84% odds / surprise -0.84 / +34 swing

Matches (13)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1597~ BEO_Fractale Win 74% 2-0 1.3× +9.2 Swiss
R2 1581~ RPGKuchen Win 75% 2-0 1.3× +8.8 Swiss
R3 1458~ GanryuTCG Win 81% 2-0 1.3× +6.4 Swiss
R4 1398~ ChiefChirpa Loss 84% 0-2 1.3× -28.7 Swiss
R5 1548~ Talri113 Win 77% 2-1 1.3× +8.1 Swiss
R6 1664 LordMalrenus Win 69% 2-1 1.3× +10.8 Swiss
R7 1629 Inossatam Win 72% 2-1 1.3× +10.0 Swiss
R8 1597 Reader_DSP Win 74% 2-0 1.3× +9.2 Swiss
R9 2070 yehosera Loss 36% 0-2 1.3× -12.7 Swiss
R10 1468 MyhreDK Loss 81% 0-2 1.3× -28.7 Swiss
R11 1811 NO_Camino Win 58% 2-0 1.3× +14.8 Swiss
R12 1962 MikaelPL Win 45% 2-1 1.3× +19.3 Swiss
R13 1500~ Benjix Win 78% 2-1 1.3× +7.2 Swiss
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