NXS_BigONotation at Planetary Qualifier Cheltenham

melee.gg
Planetary Premier September 21, 2025 Record 8-2-0 Field 90
Rating after 2,008
+25
Rating before 1,983 RD 79
Rating after 2,008 RD 82
Effective multiplier 0.92× weighted avg
Performance 2,014 vs field +475
Field strength Mean 1,539 · Median 1,500 · 90 rated 38th Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q3

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 6-1 +3.2 1.0× +0.0 +3.2 1987
Quarterfinals · 1 match 1-0 +5.9 1.12× 1.00 · +0.12 +0.7 +6.6 1993
Semifinals · 1 match 1-0 +5.7 1.18× 1.00 · +0.18 +1.0 +6.7 1998
Finals · 1 match 0-1 -10.7 0.65× 1.00 · -0.35 +3.8 -7.0 1990
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 90 +15.0 2005
Total 8-2-0 +24.6 2008
Toughest win Beat Ashergdf 1663 at 75% odds
Costliest loss Lost to ScrubGames 1707 at 71% odds / surprise -0.71 / +21 swing

Matches (10)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1348~ Choppar Win 89% 2-0 1.0× +2.4 Swiss
R2 1500~ Dovy Win 82% 2-1 1.0× +3.7 Swiss
R3 1500~ Alexyy Win 82% 2-0 1.0× +3.7 Swiss
R4 1707~ ScrubGames Loss 71% 0-2 1.0× -15.3 Swiss
R5 1602 DarkMasterZork Win 78% 2-1 1.0× +4.7 Swiss
R6 1332~ Lyn Davies Win 90% 2-1 1.0× +2.2 Swiss
R7 1323~ JohR45 Win 90% 2-0 1.0× +2.2 Swiss
QF 1663 Ashergdf Win 75% 2-1 1.12× +6.2 Top Cut
Semis 1576 Stealthmoose_DSP Win 80% 2-1 1.18× +5.2 Top Cut
Finals 2007 Darthsilk_DSP Loss 49% 0-2 0.65× -6.9 Top Cut
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