NXS_BigONotation at Regional Championship Bilbao Limited

melee.gg

Regional Limited October 10, 2025 Record 6-3-0 Field 446

Rating after 1,880

-33

Rating before 1,913 RD 130

Rating after 1,880 RD 114

Effective multiplier 1.3×

Performance 1,808

Field strength Mean 1,575 · Median 1,525 · 457 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Regional tier multiplier (1.3×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Regional event adds a flat +35 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1913 → Swiss 1880 -33.1

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Hiere 0

FilS 2

Cuendae 1

Wojciech Olszewski 2

Bandit01 2

miguelitto01 1

QCK_CharlyBacon 0

MikaelPL 2

Semifinals

Bandit01 2

Wojciech Olszewski 1

MikaelPL 2

FilS 1

Finals

MikaelPL 0

Bandit01 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 9 matches 6-3 -25.4 1.3× -7.6 -33.1 1880

Total 6-3-0 -33.1 1880

Biggest upset Beat MKE_Strife 1727 at 65% odds / surprise +0.35

Costliest loss Lost to Bad_IA 1500 at 78% odds / surprise -0.78 /

Matches (9)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

R1 Bad_IA Loss 0-2 1.3× Swiss

R2 EBF_Greensirius Win 2-1 1.3× Swiss

R3 bruderpetrus Win 2-0 1.3× Swiss

R4 MKE_Strife Win 2-0 1.3× Swiss

R5 Antpi Win 2-0 1.3× Swiss

R6 ADB_RemiWanKenobi Loss 0-2 1.3× Swiss

R7 NXS_ArthurDDL Win 2-0 1.3× Swiss

R8 Loira Win 2-0 1.3× Swiss

R9 SC_Spylk Loss 1-2 1.3× Swiss