NXS_BigONotation at Planetary Qualifier Bristol

melee.gg
Planetary Premier December 06, 2025 Record 5-2-0 Field 83
Rating after 1,981
-2
Rating before 1,983 RD 82
Rating after 1,981 RD 80
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,963 vs field +395
Field strength Mean 1,568 · Median 1,536 · 83 rated 69th Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q4

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 5-2 -1.9 1.0× +0.0 -1.9 1981
Total 5-2-0 -1.9 1981
Biggest upset Beat BN_Cerberus 1933 at 54% odds / surprise +0.46
Costliest loss Lost to SealeysonSW 1453 at 85% odds / surprise -0.85 / +23 swing

Matches (7)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ SonOfParagus Win 82% 2-0 1.0× +4.0 Swiss
R2 1500~ AsinineJoe Win 82% 2-1 1.0× +4.0 Swiss
R3 1749 NXS_CheifGoose Win 69% 2-0 1.0× +7.4 Swiss
R4 1933 BN_Cerberus Win 54% 2-0 1.0× +10.8 Swiss
R5 1453~ SealeysonSW Loss 85% 0-2 1.0× -19.4 Swiss
R6 1700 Higgo186th Loss 72% 1-2 1.0× -17.2 Swiss
R7 1805 Camw863 Win 65% 2-1 1.0× +8.3 Swiss
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