NXS_BigONotation at Planetary Qualifier Dudley

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Planetary Premier December 21, 2025 Record 3-2-0 Field 64
Rating after 1,964
-17
Rating before 1,981 RD 80
Rating after 1,964 RD 79
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,738 vs field +152
Field strength Mean 1,586 · Median 1,556 · 64 rated 87th Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q4

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 3-2 -17.0 1.0× +0.0 -17.0 1964
Total 3-2-0 -17.0 1964
Toughest win Beat Arwel 1665 at 75% odds
Costliest loss Lost to X0TCG 1762 at 68% odds / surprise -0.68 / +22 swing

Matches (5)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1307 Technoteej Win 91% 2-0 1.0× +2.1 Swiss
R2 1665 Arwel Win 75% 2-1 1.0× +5.7 Swiss
R3 1337 Intrepidd Win 90% 2-0 1.0× +2.3 Swiss
R4 1909 TeeMouse Loss 56% 0-2 1.0× -12.6 Swiss
R5 1762 X0TCG Loss 68% 0-2 1.0× -15.2 Swiss
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