NXS_BigONotation at Sector Qualifier Tilburg

melee.gg
Sector Premier January 10, 2026 Record 3-4-0 Field 477
Rating after 1,911
-53
Rating before 1,964 RD 79
Rating after 1,911 RD 78
Effective multiplier 1.15× weighted avg
Performance 1,522 vs field -69
Field strength Mean 1,591 · Median 1,567 · 477 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Sector tier multiplier (1.15×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Sector event adds a flat +25 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 3-4 -45.7 1.15× -6.9 -52.6 1911
Total 3-4-0 -52.6 1911
Biggest upset Beat SB_Medo 1800 at 64% odds / surprise +0.36
Costliest loss Lost to SC_Lounas 1424 at 86% odds / surprise -0.86 / +26 swing

Matches (7)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1424 SC_Lounas Loss 86% 1-2 1.15× -22.3 Swiss
R2 1465~ russ28 Loss 84% 0-2 1.15× -20.6 Swiss
R3 1800 SB_Medo Win 64% 2-0 1.15× +9.3 Swiss
R4 1845~ RickvanRijn Loss 60% 0-2 1.15× -15.0 Swiss
R5 1566 Rey7 Win 80% 2-1 1.15× +5.2 Swiss
R6 1473~ Supermario66 Win 83% 2-0 1.15× +4.1 Swiss
R7 1726 FeyrBert Loss 69% 0-2 1.15× -17.4 Swiss
// keyboard

Shortcuts

Focus search
/
Next row
j
Previous row
k
Open focused row
Enter
Show / hide this panel
?
Close dialogs
Esc

j / k navigate rows on the leaderboard and tournaments index. Arrow keys work too.