NGNR_TK_23115 at Planetary Qualifier Essen

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-4-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,264
+7
Rating before 1,257 RD 149
Rating after 1,264 RD 131
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,306 vs field -266
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 2-4 +7.3 1.0× +0.0 +7.3 1264
Total 2-4-0 +7.3 1264
Biggest upset Beat LuckyJoe1909 1572 at 26% odds / surprise +0.74
Costliest loss Lost to CCR_Ege 1443 at 35% odds / surprise -0.35 / +72 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1464 Yacone Loss 33% 0-2 1.0× -23.9 Swiss
R2 1634~ ArgusDeadeye Loss 22% 0-1 1.0× -15.9 Swiss
R3 1482~ Inusasha Loss 32% 0-2 1.0× -22.9 Swiss
R5 1443 CCR_Ege Loss 35% 0-2 1.0× -25.0 Swiss
R6 1572~ LuckyJoe1909 Win 26% 2-0 1.0× +51.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 26% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 181, true skill could span ±362).
R7 1500~ EinfachJan Win 32% 2-1 1.0× +45.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 32% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
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