NGNR_Phorlo at Planetary Qualifier Essen

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 0-6-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,231
-134
Rating before 1,366 RD 140
Rating after 1,231 RD 123
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 800 vs field -772
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 0-6 -134.3 1.0× +0.0 -134.3 1231
Total 0-6-0 -134.3 1231
Costliest loss Lost to Janoshi 1244 at 60% odds / surprise -0.6 / +63 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1513~ DarthTatlises Loss 38% 0-2 1.0× -23.7 Swiss
R2 1446 Kanickel Loss 43% 1-2 1.0× -27.8 Swiss
R3 1575 RPGKuchen Loss 33% 0-2 1.0× -21.3 Swiss
R4 1324 Diddi6986 Loss 54% 1-2 1.0× -34.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 54% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R5 1244~ Janoshi Loss 60% 0-2 1.0× -37.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 60% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 144, true skill could span ±288).
R6 1528~ RustySynapse Loss 37% 0-2 1.0× -23.2 Swiss
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