MrUntiltable at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 1-3-0 Field 63
Rating after 1,561
-73
Rating before 1,634 RD 126
Rating after 1,561 RD 118
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,119 vs field -475
Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated 74th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 4 matches 1-3 -73.4 1.0× +0.0 -73.4 1561
Total 1-3-0 -73.4 1561
Biggest upset Beat KubaW03 1419 at 67% odds / surprise +0.33
Costliest loss Lost to Kondziuldz 1368 at 71% odds / surprise -0.71 / +53 swing

Matches (4)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1671~ Yann Cauet Loss 47% 1-2 1.0× -24.5 Swiss
R3 1419~ KubaW03 Win 67% 2-0 1.0× +17.1 Swiss
R4 1378~ Guzi6 Loss 70% 1-2 1.0× -37.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 70% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 122, true skill could span ±244).
R5 1368~ Kondziuldz Loss 71% 0-2 1.0× -37.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 71% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 120, true skill could span ±241).
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