Mordredd1 at Planetary Qualifier CONROE

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 0-4-0 Field 55
Rating after 1,314
-76
Rating before 1,390 RD 132
Rating after 1,314 RD 123
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 800 vs field -788
Field strength Mean 1,588 · Median 1,561 · 55 rated 62nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 4 matches 0-4 -75.7 1.0× +0.0 -75.7 1314
Total 0-4-0 -75.7 1314
Costliest loss Lost to KingKaioshin 1370 at 52% odds / surprise -0.52 / +57 swing

Matches (4)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1670 Kale Orrmons Loss 28% 0-2 1.0× -16.1 Swiss
R2 1370 KingKaioshin Loss 52% 0-2 1.0× -29.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 52% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R3 1637 TimmyG Loss 30% 0-2 1.0× -17.4 Swiss
R4 1500~ jabbavert Loss 41% 1-2 1.0× -22.0 Swiss
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