MistahJ at Planetary Qualifier Radcliff

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 1-4-0 Field 44
Rating after 1,491
-56
Rating before 1,547 RD 112
Rating after 1,491 RD 105
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,119 vs field -464
Field strength Mean 1,583 · Median 1,522 · 44 rated 54th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 1-4 -55.7 1.0× +0.0 -55.7 1491
Total 1-4-0 -55.7 1491
Biggest upset Beat Shane Lines 1500 at 54% odds / surprise +0.46
Costliest loss Lost to Youngwes2 1397 at 62% odds / surprise -0.62 / +41 swing

Matches (5)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1397~ Youngwes2 Loss 62% 1-2 1.0× -25.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 62% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 138, true skill could span ±276).
R2 1500~ Shane Lines Win 54% 2-0 1.0× +18.0 Swiss
R3 1685 julianharmon Loss 38% 1-2 1.0× -16.1 Swiss
R4 1594 BRVY Loss 46% 0-2 1.0× -19.3 Swiss
R5 1566~ YurGreatness Loss 48% 0-2 1.0× -19.7 Swiss
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