McWithers at Planetary Qualifier Cincinnati

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Planetary Limited April 25, 2026 Record 6-2-0 Field 43
Rating after 1,843
+60
Rating before 1,783 RD 108
Rating after 1,843 RD 101
Effective multiplier 0.98× weighted avg
Performance 2,033 vs field +452
Field strength Mean 1,581 · Median 1,500 · 43 rated 51st Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 5-1 +40.0 1.0× +0.0 +40.0 1823
Quarterfinals · 1 match 1-0 +9.7 1.12× 1.00 · +0.12 +1.2 +10.8 1832
Semifinals · 1 match 0-1 -7.8 0.73× 1.00 · -0.27 +2.1 -5.7 1827
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 43 +15.0 1842
Total 6-2-0 +60.1 1843
Biggest upset Beat Squire Greene 1715 at 56% odds / surprise +0.44
Costliest loss Lost to Michael Swanson 1770 at 51% odds / surprise -0.51 / +38 swing

Matches (8)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ Kenneth Earnest Win 71% 2-0 1.0× +10.6 Swiss
R2 1687~ Matt Kohls Win 58% 2-0 1.0× +16.1 Swiss
R3 1770~ Michael Swanson Loss 51% 0-2 1.0× -19.6 Swiss
R4 1715 Squire Greene Win 56% 2-0 1.0× +17.2 Swiss
R5 1515~ Ethan Arnett Win 71% 2-1 1.0× +11.2 Swiss
R6 1473~ TacoManiac Win 74% 2-0 1.0× +10.1 Swiss
QF 1473~ TacoManiac Win 76% 2-0 1.12× +11.4 Top Cut
Semis 2191 CadeH13 Loss 23% 1-2 0.73× -5.8 Top Cut
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