Marsicano at Planetary Qualifier Portici

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 26, 2026 Record 1-4-0 Field 28
Rating after 1,178
-16
Rating before 1,194 RD 130
Rating after 1,178 RD 120
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,081 vs field -539
Field strength Mean 1,620 · Median 1,579 · 28 rated 94th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +8 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Finals
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 1-4 -15.6 1.0× +0.0 -15.6 1178
Total 1-4-0 -15.6 1178
Biggest upset Beat 0KkTuco 1460 at 29% odds / surprise +0.71
Costliest loss Lost to Danilo17 1421 at 32% odds / surprise -0.32 / +55 swing

Matches (5)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1569 SubliminalAfro Loss 22% 0-2 1.0× -12.3 Swiss
R2 1460 0KkTuco Win 29% 2-0 1.0× +39.7 Swiss
R3 1522 BlattinaLawyer Loss 25% 0-2 1.0× -13.9 Swiss
R4 1516~ Hawser Loss 26% 0-2 1.0× -14.0 Swiss
R5 1421~ Danilo17 Loss 32% 1-2 1.0× -17.5 Swiss
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