Marcin-ravin78 at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 3-3-0 Field 63
Rating after 1,198
+71
Rating before 1,126 RD 130
Rating after 1,198 RD 119
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,475 vs field -119
Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated 74th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 +71.2 1.0× +0.0 +71.2 1198
Total 3-3-0 +71.2 1198
Biggest upset Beat Malyszek95 1708 at 12% odds / surprise +0.88
Costliest loss Lost to bxsic 1326 at 34% odds / surprise -0.34 / +54 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1326~ bxsic Loss 34% 1-2 1.0× -18.5 Swiss
R2 1366 Oyabin Win 31% 2-0 1.0× +38.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 31% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R3 1716 Tomasz Napierała Loss 12% 1-2 1.0× -6.7 Swiss
R4 1385~ KarkosSWU Win 30% 2-1 1.0× +37.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 30% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 176, true skill could span ±353).
R5 1708~ Malyszek95 Win 12% 2-1 1.0× +49.3 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 12% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 132, true skill could span ±264).
R6 1350~ SergioG4 Loss 32% 0-2 1.0× -17.5 Swiss
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