Marchewa at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

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Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 4-2-0 Field 63
Rating after 1,736
+27
Rating before 1,709 RD 100
Rating after 1,736 RD 94
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,916 vs field +322
Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated 74th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-2 +26.9 1.0× +0.0 +26.9 1736
Total 4-2-0 +26.9 1736
Biggest upset Beat Erik Eroth Kaleta 1849 at 38% odds / surprise +0.62
Costliest loss Lost to Rafał Tarnowski 1794 at 43% odds / surprise -0.43 / +34 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1708~ Malyszek95 Win 50% 2-0 1.0× +16.8 Swiss
R2 1304~ Danuel_Nie Win 79% 2-0 1.0× +6.9 Swiss
R3 1445~ SirMesmer Win 71% 2-0 1.0× +9.8 Swiss
R4 1975 siny Loss 29% 0-2 1.0× -9.8 Swiss
R5 1794 Rafał Tarnowski Loss 43% 0-2 1.0× -14.6 Swiss
R6 1849 Erik Eroth Kaleta Win 38% 2-0 1.0× +21.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 38% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
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