MagicalSinner at Planetary Qualifier Yuma

melee.gg
Planetary Limited April 25, 2026 Record 2-4-0 Field 43
Rating after 1,418
-18
Rating before 1,436 RD 126
Rating after 1,418 RD 114
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,353 vs field -222
Field strength Mean 1,575 · Median 1,552 · 42 rated 46th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 2-4 -17.8 1.0× +0.0 -17.8 1418
Total 2-4-0 -17.8 1418
Biggest upset Beat Kazrig 1676 at 31% odds / surprise +0.69
Costliest loss Lost to Beeb 1438 at 50% odds / surprise -0.5 / +52 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1616~ CBG_Ruben Loss 35% 0-2 1.0× -18.4 Swiss
R2 1676~ Kazrig Win 31% 2-1 1.0× +35.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 31% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 152, true skill could span ±304).
R3 1569~ Arteiris Loss 39% 0-2 1.0× -20.0 Swiss
R4 1500~ Sturg Win 45% 2-0 1.0× +26.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 45% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R5 1438~ Beeb Loss 50% 1-2 1.0× -25.8 Swiss
R6 1594~ SBS_bluepawn Loss 37% 1-2 1.0× -19.1 Swiss
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