MND_Jzempel at Regional Qualifier Minneapolis

melee.gg
Regional Premier May 24, 2025 Record 5-4-0 Field 636
Rating after 1,602
+40
Rating before 1,562 RD 114
Rating after 1,602 RD 102
Effective multiplier 1.3× weighted avg
Performance 1,702 vs field +154
Field strength Mean 1,548 · Median 1,500 · 631 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Regional tier multiplier (1.3×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Regional event adds a flat +35 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 9 matches 5-4 +30.8 1.3× +9.2 +40.0 1602
Total 5-4-0 +40.0 1602
Biggest upset Beat Gold630 1828 at 29% odds / surprise +0.71
Costliest loss Lost to Evan Singley 1322 at 69% odds / surprise -0.69 / +56 swing

Matches (9)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1974 OAmagicman925 Loss 20% 0-2 1.3× -11.3 Swiss
R2 1554~ ejtrewni Loss 51% 1-2 1.3× -27.7 Swiss
R3 1431~ HighFiveStandingBy Win 61% 2-0 1.3× +21.7 Swiss
R4 1500~ N8mareFox Win 55% 2-1 1.3× +23.6 Swiss
R5 1322~ Evan Singley Loss 69% 1-2 1.3× -38.6 Swiss
R6 1568~ Erik Schee Win 49% 2-0 1.3× +27.6 Swiss
R7 1828 Gold630 Win 29% 2-0 1.3× +40.3 Swiss
R8 1492 FO_Veers Win 56% 2-0 1.3× +24.9 Swiss
R9 1988 Duncan_Howard Loss 19% 0-1 1.3× -10.9 Swiss
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