MND_Jzempel at Regional Championship Milwaukee

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Regional Premier February 21, 2026 Record 3-4-1 Field 708

Rating after 1,497

Rating before 1,493 RD 86

Rating after 1,497 RD 82

Effective multiplier 1.3×

Performance 1,527

Field strength Mean 1,600 · Median 1,580 · 712 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Regional tier multiplier (1.3×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Regional event adds a flat +35 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1493 → Swiss 1497 +4.8

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

TP_MaJar 1

Ray Tan 2

ECL_LegoPizza 2

MCG_SpanishAlex 0

CarsonCarusoSWU 0

eakfoil 2

SBS_NinjaFerret 0

ECL_TroyYamaguchi 2

Semifinals

Ray Tan 2

ECL_LegoPizza 1

eakfoil 2

ECL_TroyYamaguchi 1

Finals

Ray Tan 1

eakfoil 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 8 matches 3-4-1 +3.7 1.3× +1.1 +4.8 1497

Total 3-4-1 +4.8 1497

Biggest upset Beat trocket215 1564 at 44% odds / surprise +0.56

Costliest loss Lost to Datsevlu 1307 at 65% odds / surprise -0.65 /

Matches (8)

R1 JonR31 Loss 0-2 1.3× Swiss

R2 Datsevlu Loss 1-2 1.3× Swiss

R3 JonahP Loss 0-2 1.3× Swiss

R4 YippeeKiYay Win 2-0 1.3× Swiss

R5 gwenieverem Win 2-0 1.3× Swiss

R6 trocket215 Win 2-1 1.3× Swiss

R7 Peter_J Draw 1-1 1.3× +8.7 Swiss

R8 CST_Rapscallion Loss 0-2 1.3× Swiss