MND_Gzemp at Regional Qualifier Minneapolis

melee.gg
Regional Premier May 24, 2025 Record 8-5-0 Field 636
Rating after 1,714
+42
Rating before 1,673 RD 115
Rating after 1,714 RD 96
Effective multiplier 1.3× weighted avg
Performance 1,779 vs field +231
Field strength Mean 1,548 · Median 1,500 · 631 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Regional tier multiplier (1.3×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Regional event adds a flat +35 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 13 matches 8-5 +32.1 1.3× +9.6 +41.8 1714
Total 8-5-0 +41.8 1714
Biggest upset Beat Sam Bosscha 1833 at 37% odds / surprise +0.63
Costliest loss Lost to safetyguy14 1540 at 61% odds / surprise -0.61 / +56 swing

Matches (13)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ zod345 Win 63% 2-1 1.3× +19.7 Swiss
R2 1420 HaleyTCG Win 70% 2-0 1.3× +17.3 Swiss
R3 1564~ RobBRolling Win 59% 2-0 1.3× +23.0 Swiss
R4 1500~ ASpencer Win 63% 2-1 1.3× +19.7 Swiss
R5 1540~ safetyguy14 Loss 61% 0-2 1.3× -34.3 Swiss
R6 1655 JerP11 Loss 51% 1-2 1.3× -29.8 Swiss
R7 1656 MCG_Titan1k Win 51% 2-0 1.3× +28.1 Swiss
R8 1657 Blake Edmondson Win 51% 2-0 1.3× +28.1 Swiss
R9 1833~ Sam Bosscha Win 37% 2-1 1.3× +36.2 Swiss
R10 1749 karmakut Loss 44% 0-2 1.3× -25.1 Swiss
R11 1770~ ECL_Mickeyd Loss 42% 0-2 1.3× -23.9 Swiss
R12 1666~ CST_Rapscallion Loss 51% 0-2 1.3× -28.8 Swiss
R13 1687 DvDragon Win 49% 2-1 1.3× +29.4 Swiss
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