MND_Gzemp at Regional Championship Limited Milwaukee

melee.gg
Regional Limited February 20, 2026 Record 5-4-0 Field 561
Rating after 1,650
+18
Rating before 1,632 RD 152
Rating after 1,650 RD 122
Effective multiplier 1.3× weighted avg
Performance 1,672 vs field +79
Field strength Mean 1,593 · Median 1,565 · 562 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Regional tier multiplier (1.3×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Regional event adds a flat +35 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 9 matches 5-4 +14.0 1.3× +4.2 +18.1 1650
Total 5-4-0 +18.1 1650
Biggest upset Beat Ryan Brown 1646 at 49% odds / surprise +0.51
Costliest loss Lost to Joseph Carter 1457 at 64% odds / surprise -0.64 / +96 swing

Matches (9)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1615~ Buried_Deep Win 51% 2-1 1.3× +46.6 Swiss
R2 1788~ ECL_Narchy Loss 37% 1-2 1.3× -35.6 Swiss
R3 1673 TH_MoxlessMatt Loss 47% 0-2 1.3× -44.9 Swiss
R4 1416~ ShadowFour Win 67% 2-1 1.3× +31.5 Swiss
R5 1478~ ballz187 Win 63% 2-0 1.3× +35.9 Swiss
R6 1836 Ophir Marom Loss 33% 0-2 1.3× -32.4 Swiss
R7 1646 Ryan Brown Win 49% 2-0 1.3× +49.4 Swiss
R8 1457~ Joseph Carter Loss 64% 1-2 1.3× -61.4 Swiss
R9 1499~ Mcpobid Win 61% 2-0 1.3× +37.3 Swiss
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