MND_Gzemp at Regional Championship Milwaukee

melee.gg
Regional Premier February 21, 2026 Record 5-3-0 Field 708
Rating after 1,703
+14
Rating before 1,689 RD 82
Rating after 1,703 RD 78
Effective multiplier 1.3× weighted avg
Performance 1,777 vs field +177
Field strength Mean 1,600 · Median 1,580 · 712 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Regional tier multiplier (1.3×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Regional event adds a flat +35 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 8 matches 5-3 +10.6 1.3× +3.2 +13.8 1703
Total 5-3-0 +13.8 1703
Biggest upset Beat davegandy 1752 at 45% odds / surprise +0.55
Costliest loss Lost to barreljerseys 1721 at 47% odds / surprise -0.47 / +30 swing

Matches (8)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1752~ davegandy Win 45% 2-1 1.3× +16.6 Swiss
R2 1743 darthbinks1 Loss 45% 1-2 1.3× -13.8 Swiss
R3 1721~ barreljerseys Loss 47% 1-2 1.3× -14.1 Swiss
R4 1500~ BigHoss88 Win 64% 2-1 1.3× +10.0 Swiss
R5 1477~ DaithiSTierGames Win 67% 2-1 1.3× +9.9 Swiss
R6 1597 FO_Swumo Win 58% 2-1 1.3× +13.0 Swiss
R7 1801 GrandLotus Loss 41% 0-2 1.3× -12.3 Swiss
R8 1299 Hodde Win 79% 2-0 1.3× +6.4 Swiss
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