MCG_reddragon252 at Planetary Qualifier Rochester

melee.gg
Planetary Premier October 12, 2024 Record 3-4-0 Field 98
Rating after 1,561
-81
Rating before 1,642 RD 174
Rating after 1,561 RD 143
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,409 vs field -103
Field strength Mean 1,512 · Median 1,500 · 97 rated 84th Percentile Planetaries, 2024 Q4

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 3-4 -80.7 1.0× +0.0 -80.7 1561
Total 3-4-0 -80.7 1561
Biggest upset Beat BenD25 1500 at 61% odds / surprise +0.39
Costliest loss Lost to GleS2 1500 at 61% odds / surprise -0.61 / +89 swing

Matches (7)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ BenD25 Win 61% 2-1 1.0× +34.9 Swiss
R2 1500~ GleS2 Loss 61% 0-2 1.0× -54.4 Swiss
R3 1500~ Krehlo_MythicForce Loss 61% 1-2 1.0× -54.4 Swiss
R4 1500~ Starcanum Loss 61% 1-2 1.0× -54.4 Swiss
R5 1500~ LGG_HypeDD Win 61% 2-0 1.0× +34.9 Swiss
R6 1500~ kestis Win 61% 2-0 1.0× +34.9 Swiss
R7 1500~ AllenP66 Loss 61% 0-2 1.0× -54.4 Swiss
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