MCG_Pasqwalle at Regional Qualifier Minneapolis

melee.gg
Regional Premier May 24, 2025 Record 5-1-3 Field 636
Rating after 1,839
+13
Rating before 1,827 RD 88
Rating after 1,839 RD 83
Effective multiplier 1.3x delta-weighted

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Regional tier multiplier (1.3×) amplifies every gain and every loss. Top-cut rounds add more on top (Quarterfinals +0.15, Semifinals +0.25, Finals +0.35).

Phase Record Raw Glicko-2 Multiplier Applied Running
Swiss · 9 matches 5-1-3 +9.7 1.3× +12.6 1839
Total 5-1-3 +12.6 1839
Biggest upset Beat Utesekdraco 1684 at 62% odds / surprise +0.38
Costliest loss Lost to LogM16 1522 at 73% odds / surprise -0.73 / 1.45×

Matches (9)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500 jsking74 Win 74% 2-0 1.45x +9.4 Swiss
R2 1500 Noraehs Win 74% 2-0 1.45x +9.4 Swiss
R3 1522 LogM16 Loss 73% 1-2 1.45x -27.7 Swiss
R4 1635 UNR3AL Draw 65% 1-1 1.45x -5.7 Swiss
R5 1500 drgwb Win 74% 2-1 1.45x +9.4 Swiss
R6 1691 Orimaarko Draw 61% 1-1 1.45x -4.4 Swiss
R7 1684 Utesekdraco Win 62% 2-0 1.45x +14.6 Swiss
R8 1626 CodyLindeman Win 66% 2-0 1.45x +12.9 Swiss
R9 1772 Bgodfather11 Draw 55% 1-1 1.45x -1.7 Swiss