Luke_C at Planetary Qualifier Cape Town

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-3-0 Field 22
Rating after 1,523
-73
Rating before 1,596 RD 157
Rating after 1,523 RD 138
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,292 vs field -234
Field strength Mean 1,526 · Median 1,500 · 22 rated 12th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +8 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 2-3 -73.1 1.0× +0.0 -73.1 1523
Total 2-3-0 -73.1 1523
Biggest upset Beat KimVee 1500 at 58% odds / surprise +0.42
Costliest loss Lost to RocketLight 1430 at 63% odds / surprise -0.63 / +77 swing

Matches (5)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ Henteezy Loss 57% 1-2 1.0× -42.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 57% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R2 1500~ KimVee Win 58% 2-0 1.0× +32.2 Swiss
R3 1430~ RocketLight Loss 63% 1-2 1.0× -49.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 63% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 157, true skill could span ±313).
R4 1474~ Bruce537 Loss 60% 0-2 1.0× -46.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 60% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 166, true skill could span ±331).
R5 1189~ Nicola Bradley Win 79% 2-0 1.0× +16.3 Swiss
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