LuckyJoe1909 at Planetary Qualifier Essen

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 1-5-1 Field 68
Rating after 1,372
-201
Rating before 1,572 RD 181
Rating after 1,372 RD 145
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,006 vs field -566
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 1-5-1 -200.6 1.0× +0.0 -200.6 1372
Total 1-5-1 -200.6 1372
Toughest win Beat Spheenix_bw 1245 at 75% odds
Costliest loss Lost to NGNR_TK_23115 1257 at 74% odds / surprise -0.74 / +103 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1725 SpaceGoose_TCT Loss 37% 0-2 1.0× -38.6 Swiss
R2 1245~ Spheenix_bw Win 75% 2-0 1.0× +25.9 Swiss
R3 1529 EW_Ditto Loss 54% 0-2 1.0× -55.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 54% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R4 1551 DanSolo Loss 52% 0-2 1.0× -52.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 52% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R5 1324 Diddi6986 Loss 70% 0-2 1.0× -72.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 70% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R6 1257~ NGNR_TK_23115 Loss 74% 0-2 1.0× -76.0 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 74% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 149, true skill could span ±298).
R7 1301 ertlheimer Draw 71% 1-1 1.0× -22.2 Swiss
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