Lou54 at Planetary Qualifier Garden City

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 1-3-0 Field 62
Rating after 1,279
-16
Rating before 1,295 RD 147
Rating after 1,279 RD 136
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,203 vs field -339
Field strength Mean 1,542 · Median 1,513 · 62 rated 13th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 4 matches 1-3 -16.1 1.0× +0.0 -16.1 1279
Total 1-3-0 -16.1 1279
Biggest upset Beat Ethier 1500 at 35% odds / surprise +0.65
Costliest loss Lost to TheWrightPhD 1345 at 46% odds / surprise -0.46 / +67 swing

Matches (4)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1615 RikeMice Loss 25% 0-2 1.0× -17.9 Swiss
R2 1769 Gloves Loss 17% 1-2 1.0× -12.0 Swiss
R3 1500~ Ethier Win 35% 2-1 1.0× +42.8 Swiss
R4 1345~ TheWrightPhD Loss 46% 1-2 1.0× -31.0 Swiss
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