LGG_BlueFalcon at Galactic Championship Day 1

melee.gg
Galactic Premier July 25, 2025 Record 6-1-0 Field 1,958
Rating after 1,777
+275
Rating before 1,502 RD 150
Rating after 1,777 RD 128
Effective multiplier 1.5× weighted avg
Clamp Fired capped
Performance 2,244 vs field +723
Field strength Mean 1,521 · Median 1,500 · 1960 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Galactic tier multiplier (1.5×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Galactic event adds a flat +50 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 6-1 +190.1 1.5× +95.1 +285.2 1788
Per-tournament cap · clamped at ±275 Tournament total clipped to keep rating moves plausible +275
Total 6-1-0 +275.0 1777
Biggest upset Beat Jeff Gray 1902 at 21% odds / surprise +0.79
Costliest loss Lost to ECL_TroyYamaguchi 1550 at 46% odds / surprise -0.46 / 1.5× / +109 swing

Matches (7)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1775~ kstryder Win 29% 2-1 1.5× +75.0 Swiss
R2 1405~ ECD Win 58% 2-1 1.5× +44.8 Swiss
R3 1902 Jeff Gray Win 21% 2-1 1.5× +88.1 Swiss
R4 1849 hearthstoned Win 23% 2-0 1.5× +84.9 Swiss
R5 1531~ Moodstah Win 48% 2-0 1.5× +56.1 Swiss
R6 1550 ECL_TroyYamaguchi Loss 46% 0-2 1.5× -49.9 Swiss
R7 1752 Archa79 Win 30% 2-1 1.5× +77.3 Swiss
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